2009 Stats: 4,500 passing yards, 33 total TDs, 16 INTs
Projected 2010 Stats: 4,255 passing yards, 31 total TDs, 12 INTs
Projected Fantasy Round: 1st Round
Quarterbacks to be picked ahead of Peyton Manning: None

Fantasy Outlook:

Why you should draft Peyton Manning: Over the last four years, Manning has averaged 4,234 passing yards and 32 total touchdowns.  Last season, Manning had nine games where he had at least 300 yards passing, and he had nine contests where he threw for multiple scores.

Why you may want to stay away from drafting Peyton Manning: In 2009, Manning passed for at least 300 yards in nine of his first ten games.  However, after Week 10,  he only was able to hit the 300-yard plateau in one other regular season game.  He also had four games where he threw multiple interceptions.  Manning is clearly among the best in the game, if not the best in the game, at quarterback.   The thing that hurts Manning’s fantasy value is that the Colts usually have their division clinched by the time fantasy football playoffs roll around, which could mean that if you draft Manning, he may not play much for you in your playoffs.

Bottom Line:  Manning never misses a game and puts up 4,000+ passing yards.  What more could you ask out of your fantasy quarterback?

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2008 Stats: 4002 passing yards, 28 total TDs, 12 INTs
Projected 2009 Stats: 4024 passing yards,  30 total TDs, 13 INTs
Projected Fantasy Round: 2nd Round
Quarterbacks to be picked ahead of Peyton Manning: Tom Brady

Fantasy Outlook:

Why you should draft Peyton Manning: Over the last three seasons, Manning has averaged 4146 passing yards and 32 total touchdowns.  Last season, Manning had four 300 yard passing games, and he threw for multiple scores nine times.  In addition, Manning has yet to miss a single game in his 11 year career.

Why you may want to stay away from drafting Peyton Manning: Manning will be without Marvin Harrison, which has been his favorite target over the past several seasons.  Consequently, Manning could see a slight dip in his fantasy numbers, which makes him a slight risk to take in the first couple rounds. Reason being, fantasy owners would have to pass up on some talented running backs to take Manning.

Bottom Line: Manning can be cemented in to play every game, and he can throw for 4000 yards and at least 25 touchdowns even in an off-year.   He should once again be viewed as being in the upper echelon of fantasy signal callers.

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2007 Stats: 4040 passing yards, 34 total TDs, 14 INTs
Projected 2008 Stats: 3970 passing yards, 31 total TDs, 15 INTs
Projected Fantasy Round: 1st Round
Quarterbacks to be picked ahead of Peyton Manning: Tom Brady

Fantasy Outlook:

Why should you draft Peyton Manning: Manning is a reliable fantasy player that doesn’t miss any games, and he can be penciled in for at least 30 touchdowns every year.  Over the last four seasons, Manning has averaged 4185 passing yards and over 36 touchdowns.  He also has completed over 60 percent of his passes in every single season, except his rookie campaign.

Why you may want to stay away from drafting Peyton Manning: If you subscribe to the theory that you need to draft a running back in the first round, then you might opt to pass on Manning.  In addition, Manning threw more picks last season then he had since 2002, and with the injury concerns with Marvin Harrison, he could flirt with averaging one interception per game in 2008.

Bottom Line: With Larry Johnson and Steven Jackson having an unexpected down year in 2007, coupled with the fact LaDainian Tomlison is recovering from a serious knee injury, this could be the year to snag a safe pick like Manning in the first round.  Manning will likely be the second quarterback taken in most fantasy drafts towards the latter half of the first round. 

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